Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers – Analysis and Pick

by John Smith

Madison Bumgarner, who is starting for the Diamondbacks, is 4-2 with a 4.12 ERA. He has 8 starts and 49 strike outs in his 43 2/3 innings pitched.

Walker Buehler who is 1-0 with a 3.45 ERA gets the start for the Dodgers at home. In his 7 starts he has 47 strike outs in 44 1/3 innings pitched.

The deciding factors in this game are that the Dodgers are at home where they are 12-6 versus the Diamondbacks road record of 9-14. The run support the Dodgers give their pitchers is far superior as they are the third-ranked team in MLB in run differential. Conversely the Diamondbacks rank in the bottom 25% of the league. Walker Buehler would be the number one starter on many teams other than the Dodgers’ loaded pitching staff.

The moneyline is just way too steep at -224. I can’t lay that heavy lumber.

Go with the Dodgers far superior run production and take the Dodgers -1.5 and -101 on the run line.

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