Buffalo (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) will face New England (11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS) Saturday at 4:30 ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Bills will try to avenge a hard fought 16-10 home loss to the Patriots in Week 4.
The Bills defense has played well all season. They rank second in the NFL, behind league-leading New England, allowing only 15.9 points per game. They rank third in total yards allowed averaging only 291.9 yards given up per game. CB Tre’Davious White had two passes defended, two interceptions and four tackles in Buffalo’s 17-10 win against Pittsburgh last week. For his performance the NFL named him the AFC Defensive Player of the Week for the second time this season. Buffalo still has a slim chance of dethroning New England as Division Champs and winning the AFC East for the first time since 1995. However, in order to do that they would have to beat New England and then beat the Jets next week and have New England also lose their final game next week against the Miami Dolphins.
Buffalo QB Josh Allen has brought the Bills from behind to win five times this season when trailing or tied in the fourth quarter. Bills defensive tackle Jordan Phillips leas the Bills with 9 ½ sacks this season which ranks second in the NFL among all defensive tackles.
New England has won six consecutive games against Buffalo. However, in their 16-10 victory in Week 4 the Patriots league-leading defense gave up a season high 375 yards of total offense to the Bills.
The Patriots will be trying to win their 11th consecutive AFC East division title. Their defense leads the NFL in points allowed with 12.9, total yards allowed with 268.4 and interceptions with 25. CB Stephon Gilmore was named to the Pro Bowl this week. They had three interceptions off of Bills QB Josh Allen in their Week 4 victory.
New England has struggled to run the ball effectively this season but ran for 175 yards last week against the woeful Cincinnati Bengals. Pats QB Tom Brady has thrown at least 20 touchdown passes for an NFL record seventeen consecutive seasons.
New England can clinch a bye in the first round with a victory over Buffalo and a loss or tie by the Kansas City Chiefs at the Chicago Bears on Sunday.
The Patriots opened as a 6 ½ point favorite with a total of 38.