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Fantasy Baseball Rankings 2020: Best sleepers, breakouts, busts from computer that nailed Bieber’s huge year

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With no minor league baseball season in 2020, several top 2020 Fantasy baseball prospects could be on an accelerated timeline to MLB action this season. Dodgers middle infielder Gavin Lux is a five-tool player with bat-to-ball skills and power, but he might have had a tough time finding regular at-bats prior to the new universal DH rule was announced for the 60-game 2020 MLB schedule. Now Fantasy baseball owners will be wondering how quickly Lux can adjust to MLB pitching after posting a mediocre .705 OPS in 75 at-bats late last season.

Meanwhile, former No. 1 overall pick Casey Mize hasn’t risen above double-A yet but he should at least be just a stone’s throw away from a call-up on the Tigers‘ taxi squad in 2020. He could easily work his way into a Detroit rotation that lacks talent and depth. But will he be one of the 2020 Fantasy baseball breakouts you should be targeting? And who are the 2020 Fantasy baseball sleepers and 2020 Fantasy baseball busts that you also need to be aware of? Before going on the clock, be sure to check out the Fantasy baseball rankings 2020 and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last season, SportsLine’s Projection Model identified several top Fantasy baseball breakouts, including Cleveland Indians All-Star starting pitcher Shane Bieber. The 24-year-old broke through with a 15-8 record, 3.28 ERA and 259 strikeouts over 214.1 innings to finish as the No. 5 starting pitcher in all of Fantasy baseball even though he was being drafted in the 15th round in standard 12-team leagues. 

The team at SportsLine was all over Bieber as a Fantasy breakout from the start. Their model had him listed much higher than expert consensus rankings, and anyone who listened to their advice was well positioned for a league title.

Their model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2020 Fantasy Baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. 

Any time more information comes out about the updated 2020 MLB schedule or players dropping out, the team at SportsLine updates its projections. Go to SportsLine now to see these proven Fantasy baseball cheat sheets

Top 2020 Fantasy baseball sleepers

One of the 2020 Fantasy baseball sleepers the model is all over: Marlins third baseman Brian Anderson. The 27-year-old finished fourth in Rookie of the Year voting in 2018 after posting a .757 OPS and he took a step forward offensively in 2019 with 20 homers, 66 RBI and an .811 OPS.

And he managed to improve his numbers despite his walk rate falling (9.3 percent to 8.5 percent), his strikeout rate climbing (19.3 percent to 21.9 percent) and his BABIP dropping (.332 to .305). That’s because his barrel rate improved from 5.8 percent to 8.9 percent, and his average launch angle went from 8.7 degrees to 11.1 degrees to allow him to better tap into his natural power. That’s why the model ranks him ahead of third baseman like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Miguel Sano despite the fact that they’re going at least three rounds earlier on average.

Top 2020 Fantasy baseball breakouts

One of the 2020 Fantasy baseball breakouts the model is all over: Reds outfielder Nick Senzel. The former No. 2 overall pick in 2016 MLB Draft from the University of Tennessee slashed .312/.388/.508 as he rose through the Reds system in three seasons and he showed flashes after making his MLB debut in 2019.

Senzel posted a .742 OPS with 12 home runs and 14 stolen bases and he was at his best when Cincinnati hit him at the top of the order with an .817 OPS while batting leadoff. Senzel’s .319 BABIP in 2019 was more than 50 points lower than his career BABIP in the minors, so you should expect better batted-ball luck and generally more confidence as he continues adjusting to MLB pitching. That’s why the model ranks him ahead of center fielders like Ramon Laureano and Victor Robles, who are going five rounds earlier on average.

Top 2020 Fantasy baseball busts

One of the 2020 Fantasy baseball busts the model is fading: Mets left fielder Jeff McNeil. The 28-year-old went four minor league seasons without hitting more than four home runs combined at all levels before surprising with 19 home runs in double-A and triple-A to earn a call-up in 2018. However, McNeil went on to hit just three home in 248 plate appearances despite putting up otherwise solid numbers in his rookie season.

Then, McNeil found power in a breakout 2019 season, hitting 23 home runs while slashing .318/.384/.531. And while improved hard-hit contact rate (30.2 percent to 37.8 percent) and average exit velocity (85.2 mph to 88.4 mph) are good signs that some of the gains he made were real, it’s fair to wonder if he can consistently post those types of power numbers. And a .344 BABIP over the last two seasons may also be subject to regression. That’s why the model ranks him behind left fielders like Andrew McCutchen and Ryan Braun who are going eight rounds later on average.

How to find proven 2020 Fantasy baseball rankings

SportsLine’s model is also all over a surprising first baseman. He’s barely being picked in the top 100, but is ranked No. 2 at his position. This pick could be the difference in winning your league or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.

So which 2020 Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target or fade in your drafts? Visit SportsLine now to get 2020 Fantasy baseball rankings for every single position, all from the model that called Shane Bieber’s All-Star season, and find out.

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