Fantasy Football Rankings 2021: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from model that nailed Allen’s huge year

by Ryan


Tom Brady won his seventh Super Bowl in his first season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, throwing for 40 touchdowns in the process. Brady returns all of his key weapons and he should be more comfortable in Bruce Arians’ high-octane offense entering his second year. Brady led a Tampa Bay offense that averaged 30.8 points per game, which ranked third in the NFL. That bodes well for Brady’s Fantasy value, but where does he stack up in the 2021 Fantasy football rankings?

Will Brady return value if you draft him with one of your early 2021 Fantasy football picks, or should you look elsewhere during your 2021 Fantasy football draft prep? Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine’s advice reaped plenty of value with that pick. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers 

One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Texans running back Rex Burkhead. He showed flashes of Fantasy relevance in New England, but was always seemingly caught up in Bill Belichick’s revolving backfield. He’ll have competition in Houston as well with David Johnson and Mark Ingram among the other options, but SportsLine’s model likes the versatile back’s upside.

The latest NFL Fantasy football ADP shows Burkhead going off in the 15th round, barely inside the top 175 picks overall. The model says he’s a much better value than other backs going off the board much earlier, however. He’s set to outperform James White (12th-round ADP), Tony Pollard (12th) and even Nyheim Hines (11th), making Burkhead one of the overlooked Fantasy football sleepers 2021 you should be all over.

Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts 

The model is also projecting Rams running back Xavier Jones as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. As a redshirt senior at SMU in 2019, Jones amassed 25 total touchdowns, all while averaging 5.2 yards per carry.

Jones has a chance for meaningful playing time after Cam Akers suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in July. He’s currently listed as the No. 2 running back on Los Angeles’ depth chart, behind only Darrell Henderson. If Henderson misses any time this season, Jones could be in line for the majority of the work in Sean McVay’s explosive offense.

Jones is currently being drafted in the 19th round according to the latest 2021 Fantasy football ADP. However, SportsLine’s model says Jones will outperform fellow running backs like Zack Moss (13th-round ADP), Devin Singletary (13th) and Tarik Cohen (14th), making him one of the top Fantasy football breakouts 2021 you should be all over.

Top 2021 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown as one of its biggest 2021 Fantasy football busts. The former All-Pro showed flashes of the form that made him a generational talent as Brown posted 45 catches for 483 yards and four touchdowns in just eight games of action last year. He underwent offseason knee surgery and then re-signed with the Bucs to return as their No. 3 receiver.

At 33, Brown still has enough left in the tank, but what he won’t have in 2021 are opportunities to make a discernible Fantasy football impact. There are still plenty of mouths to feed in Tampa and Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski all eat before Brown does. The Bucs also figure to be more balanced on offense in 2021 after ranking second in passing, but 28th in rushing last year. That will further cut into Brown’s targets, and while he’s being drafted in the same round as players like T.Y. Hilton and Marvin Jones, the SportsLine model has Brown far behind those other receivers in 2021 Fantasy football rankings.

How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar JacksonYou can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and find out.





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