Game Stat 6-Pack

by Ryan

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns

Monday Dec 14, 2020 at 8:20 pm
Opening Line:  Baltimore -3 with a total of 45.5
Projected weather: 32 degrees, mostly cloudy and wind gusting out of the NW at 11-16 mph 

The 6-pack:

  1. Baltimore 7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS and 5-7 on the Over/Unders. The Raven offense is ranked 22nd gaining 338.3 total yards per game and 13th in points per game at 26.3. As has been the norm in the Ravens recent history they hang their hat on the defensive side of the ball. They rank 8th in total yards allowed per game at 337.7 and 4thin points allowed per game at 19.3.
  2. In week 1 the Ravens beat the Browns 38-6 but things have changed quite a lot since then as these tow AFC North rivals play a rematch tonight in Cleveland. This is a crucial game as far as playoff seeding for both teams. Baltimore has 9 players who are questionable for this game and 8 of them are on the defense.
  3. Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing yards per attempt at 5.1. With freezing temperatures and wind gusting the Ravens can be expected to go to their ground and pound attack. That 4 headed monster is Mark Ingram Jr, Gus Edwards, rookie J K Dobbins and of course QB Lamar Jackson.
  4. Cleveland is 9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS and 7-5 on the Over/Unders. The offense resides right in the middle of the pack ranking 15th in points per game and 16th in yards gained per game at 25.5 and 364.3 respectively. The defense is ranked even lower allowing 26.8 points per game and 361.3 total yards per game to rank 22nd and 19th
  5. The Browns have won 4 in a row and 5 of their last 6 but only 2 of those 6 games have been against teams with a winning record.
  6. The Browns have had a resurgence in their running game with the return of Nick Chubb to join Kareem Hunt. They currently rank 4th in the NFL in yards gained per rushing attempt at 4.9.

ProGambler says: Out of the 15 games played this week, including the Thursday night game, 10 of them went under. In the 5 of those games which were played at Northern game sites that can be at least partially attributed to the winter weather. Four of those five games went under. Turnovers are a key factor in bad weather and they are impossible to predict. Prime time games are the only game on the board and therefore the linesmakers are on top of the numbers. That makes these games very difficult to pick. But with both teams strong running games and the bad weather if you have to make a play tonight I would lean towards the Under.

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